Orthopedic surgeons, except pediatric

SOC 29-1242 · 29-0000 · Score reference month August 2026

Diagnose and perform surgery to treat and prevent rheumatic and other diseases in the musculoskeletal system.

In short

The national Job Market Health score is in the Balanced band for August 2026.

Job Market Health score

42/ 100
Balanced

Stable · -1

Confidence
High
Restated score
43
Methodology
v1.0
Geography
US
  • At least 90% of required inputs and occupation-industry mapping are covered.

Job Market Health scores are derived indicators based on published data, informational only, not a forecast or guarantee.

$358,550Median annual wageOEWS May 2025
400Projected annual openingsBLS Employment Projections 2025-2035
+4.0%Projected growth2025–2035
14,100Total employmentOEWS May 2025

Latest interpretation

What stands out for orthopedic surgeons, except pediatric

The clearest signals from the latest validated score, outlook and metro data.

Current demand is the strongest component

Current demand scores 46/100, compared with 38/100 for long-term outlook, a 8-point difference.

JobMarketHealth score components

Published long-term outlook

BLS projects 400 average annual openings and +4.0% employment growth from 2025 to 2035. Projected openings are a modeled annual average, not vacancies open today.

BLS Employment Projections

Largest published metro market

New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ has the largest published metro employment count for orthopedic surgeons, except pediatric, at 1,520 jobs. The next-largest published metro is Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood, IN with 420 jobs. This measures employment scale, not market quality.

BLS OEWS

Local market context

QCEW industry conditions for this occupation’s employment mix

Choose a state to see how the industries that employ this occupation are performing locally.

Choose a state above to explore its available industry context.

How to read this section

QCEW measures employment and wages by industry, not by occupation. We weight those industry conditions using the published industry mix for this occupation. These figures describe the industries that employ this occupation; they are not direct counts of people working in the occupation or jobs currently open.

Source: BLS QCEW. This section is not part of the national 0 to 100 Job Market Health score. See the methodology.

Compare states for orthopedic surgeons, except pediatricSide-by-side published industry conditions for two or three states. There is no state-level health score; the 0 to 100 score is national.

How to read this page

The score is a national composite from 0 to 100 that weights near term hiring demand at 50 percent, the occupation's own employment fundamentals at 30 percent, and long-term outlook at 20 percent. Wages and occupation profile details are context shown alongside it, not score inputs. See the full methodology.

Median annual wage and metro employment come from BLS OEWS, which is annual. Projected annual openings and projected growth come from BLS Employment Projections and describe the published projection horizon, so they are not a count of jobs open today. Values shown as not published are suppressed by the source rather than filled in here.

Job Market Health trend

Published composite score · 0–100 · by reference month

Latest published values
  • Aug 2642 / 100
View values: Job Market Health history
Job Market Health history
Reference monthScore / 100
Jan 2556
Feb 2556
Mar 2555
Apr 2554
May 2555
Jun 2554
Jul 2553
Aug 2551
Sep 2550
Oct 2546
Nov 2546
Dec 2544
Jan 2648
Feb 2643
Mar 2644
Apr 2643
May 2645
Jun 2644
Jul 2643
Aug 2642

Score components

The three published inputs behind the composite · each 0–100

Current demand46 / 100
Occupation fundamentals41 / 100
Long-term outlook38 / 100

Largest metro markets by employment

OEWS employment count, where the jobs are, not a quality ranking

OEWS May 2025. These occupation counts describe the survey reference period.

Linked metro names open overall job-market profiles.

Compare cities for this career →

Employment · number of jobs

  • New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ1,520
  • Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood, IN420
  • Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA400
  • San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA230
  • Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA180
  • Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX150
  • Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC140
  • Boulder, CO130
  • Denver-Aurora-Centennial, CO130
  • Omaha, NE-IA130
Largest metro markets by employment
Metro areaEmploymentJobs per 1,000Median annual wage
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ1,5200.16$341,430
Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood, IN4200.38Not published
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA4000.14Not published
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA2300.15$204,290
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA1800.09$576,130
Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX1500.05$83,160
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC1400.10$572,910
Boulder, CO1300.70$211,600
Denver-Aurora-Centennial, CO1300.08Not published
Omaha, NE-IA1300.26$534,820

Education & training

Typical entry requirements · BLS Employment Projections 2025-2035

Typical education
Doctoral or professional degree
Work experience
None
On-the-job training
Internship/residency
Projected employment
16,100 jobs

Top skills

Occupation profile · O*NET 31.0 Database

O*NET skills are not available in this published occupation profile. Other figures on this page use their separately listed sources.

Also known as: General Surgeon, Hand Surgeon, Orthopaedic Surgeon, Orthopedic Surgeon, Physician, Surgeon

AI & this occupation

How AI relates to Orthopedic surgeons, except pediatric work

Across 2 research exposure measures, Orthopedic surgeons, except pediatric is in the middle technical AI exposure band based on the mean of the available source-specific percentile ranks. Exposure describes how much of the work the studied AI capabilities could technically assist with; it is not a forecast of job loss.

The saved Anthropic task-exposure benchmark records a zero index for this occupation. This is not proof of no AI use; the observation window is not recorded in this saved release.

JobMarketHealth has not measured an AI effect on this occupation's employment or wages, and these figures do not enter its scores; there is no clear evidence of displacement in the data shown here.

Technical AI exposureMiddle exposureMean of 2 available source-specific percentile ranks (4 measures checked); fixed exposure bands, not a national rank of the composite
Dated Claude task exposureLower thirdObserved task-exposure benchmark 0.000; observation window not recorded
Business AI use (BTOS Core)24.6%U.S. businesses using AI, two weeks ending 2026-10-04; all industries, not this occupation
Historical task mix (2025)Not enough tasksFewer than 3 observed tasks
Measured labor-market effectNot estimatedJobMarketHealth does not attribute employment or wage changes to AI

Exposure measures (kept separate)

  • GPTs are GPTs exposure (β, GPT-4 rated): 0.33 of 1, national percentile 51 (middle third)
  • Microsoft AI applicability: 0.08 of 1, national percentile 27 (lower third)

National context: what businesses used generative AI for

From the Census 2025-26 BTOS AI Supplement (all industries; businesses whose employees used generative AI). Census did not measure Orthopedic surgeons, except pediatric specifically.

  • Writing or editing documents, emails, or communications: 85.4%
  • Searching for information or technical help: 49.9%
  • Interpreting, analyzing, translating, or summarizing documents: 44.6%
  • Information processing, paperwork, or filing: 34.7%

Exposure and observed usage are separate measures and neither equals job loss. Census BTOS figures are business-level surveys and are not occupation-specific. Sources: GPTs are GPTs occupation exposure; Microsoft Working with AI: AI applicability; Anthropic Economic Index; Census BTOS Core AI Use; Census BTOS AI Supplement 2025-26. These figures do not affect Job Market Health scores. Explore AI & Jobs · How we use AI data.

Sources and methodology

The datasets behind the figures on this page

Job Market Health score
Score for reference month August 2026 · methodology v1.0 · MethodologyScore last recalculated Oct 2, 2026 · First published Sep 29, 2026
BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics
Employment, wages and largest metros · OEWS May 2025 · publisher release May 15, 2026 · About this sourceRetrieved Sep 17, 2026
BLS Employment Projections
Projected growth, openings, education and training · BLS Employment Projections 2025-2035 · publisher release Aug 27, 2026 · About this sourceRetrieved Sep 17, 2026
O*NET
Skills, alternate titles and related occupations · O*NET 31.0 Database · publisher release date not verified · About this sourceRetrieved Oct 19, 2026

Values marked “Not published” are suppressed or not published by the source. We leave them blank rather than estimating them. Pipeline status for every source is on Data Status.

Related occupations

O*NET® lists these occupations as related. Each link opens the same published view of score, wages and outlook.

Evidence record

JobMarketHealth derived indicator; not a government statistic. The composite score is national and occupation level.

Occupation
Orthopedic surgeons, except pediatric
SOC code
29-1242
Geography
United States
Reference month
August 2026
Published Job Market Health score
42 / 100
Restated score
43 / 100
Band
Balanced
Current Demand component
46 / 10050% weight
Occupation Fundamentals component
41 / 10030% weight
Long-Term Outlook component
38 / 10020% weight
Confidence
HighAt least 90% of required inputs and occupation-industry mapping are covered.
Methodology version
v1.0
Source vintage: Annual
EP-2025-2035|CPS-25b-2025|OEWS-2020-2025
Source vintage: Monthly calculated at
2026-10-02T15:32:31.597Z
First published at
Sep 29, 2026
Recalculated at
Oct 2, 2026
Canonical record URL
https://jobmarkethealth.com/occupations/orthopedic-surgeons-except-pediatric#evidence-record
Derived by
JobMarketHealth

Keep going

Learn how to judge a market from these numbers in how to tell if a job market is healthy, or why projected growth and annual openings often disagree in projected growth vs projected annual openings. Coverage, revisions and limits are explained on about the data.

The datasets behind these figures, and what each one can and cannot show, are set out on data sources.